27 Days of Oscar: Day 24, prediction blues and not being part of the problem


I finally finished watching "Cartel Land" this morning.  Not sure that I will really have time to go into my thoughts about the Best Documentary Feature race this year...especially considering the fact that I haven't watched "Look of Silence" yet.  Perhaps when I get to the predictions I will be able to sort out and share some sort of analysis.  Now, I am doing my best to go

Speaking of predictions, I am mulling over my choices right now.  Technically I should go with what I was feeling on Tuesday when the ballots were due, but I honestly can't choose until I finish out all of the categories. 

The ones that are giving me grief:
Actress in a Supporting Role
My gut is telling me that Kate Winslet is going to win this.  I absolutely loved Alicia Vikander in "The Danish Girl."  But I'm feeling this pretty hard right now.

Live-Action Short
When I finished watching these, I found "Stutterer" to be the best.  It reminds me of the year when "God of Love" won.  "Shok" could win.  So could "Ave Maria."  Heck...any of them could really take the prize.  And that's why whoever picks the right one here...probably going to get the most right.

Documentary Short (only because I have only watched the VERY good HBO Documentary Film "A Girl in the River"

Foreign Film
I have a sneaking suspicion that "Son of Saul" is not going to win.  I remember the year that "Pans Labyrinth" and "The White Ribbon" lost.  But last year, "Ida" won.  So, it's really a toss up.  I'm feeling "Embrace of the Serpent" or "Mustang."  Will I have the guts to go against "Saul?"  I don't know.

Editing
With this category I simply haven't really put any thought into it.  There used to be a rule that the film that won Editing was going to win Best Picture.  I am not sure.  I do know that it would make sense that "The Revenant" would take this.  Why?  Not sure, to be honest.  Other than I'm sure there was all sorts of messy footage to put together.  And from what I gather from what I have heard about the shoot...there was a great deal to choose from, with every shot set up for 360 degrees.  But maybe "Mad Max: Fury Road" gets in.  Eh...who knows?

I am planning to publish my top Performances of the year tomorrow.  And last night, in bed, where I clearly do a lot of thinking about the Oscars I started to go through the possibilities in my head.  And then I realized that everyone on my list was white.  I loved Michael B. Jordan, but he simply doesn't top some of the other acting for me.  The boy from "Theeb" gives a performance that is certainly worthy of consideration.   But the real problem is the fact that I haven't seen "Beasts of No Nation" or "Straight Outta Compton."  I find myself to be truly considering of all talent regardless of race, but how can I truly make a judgement when I haven't even seen the films at hand. 

So, tonight, in addition to watching "Spectre" and "Fifty Shades of Grey" I plan on watching "Beasts of No Nation."  I may not be part of the solution, but I certainly do not want to be part of the problem.

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