27 Days of Oscar: Day 26, Brian's Predictions



Here they are...a little late and a few films short.  I think my predictions are all going to come down to Editing, Supporting Actress and Documentary Feature.  If you notice Rick's predictions with mine we switch off a bit on Predict to win and Don't discount.   Typical of us.

In terms of the shorts, I managed to see only 2.  So, I simply copied Rick's picks.  Not an easy choice for me knowing that I have often sealed my predictions deal with the shorts.

Finally, there has to be at least one surprise.  Leto losing.  McQueen for Director.  American Hustle for Picture.  Happy for Best Original Song.  These things could happen, but to be honest I highly doubt it.  Because if they are predictable they are not a surprise.

See trouble for "12 Years a Slave" if it loses Screenplay and/or Supporting Actress.  

Picture
Predict to win: 12 Years a Slave
But don’t discount: Gravity
How I would have voted: Dallas Buyers Club

Directing
Predict to win: Alfonso Cuaron
How I would have voted: Steve McQueen

Actor
Predict to win: Matthew McConaughey
Possible spoiler:  Chiwetel Ejifor
How I would have voted: Matthew McConaughey

Actress
Predict to win: Cate Blanchett
Possible spoiler: Amy Adams
How I would have voted: Amy Adams

Supporting Actor
Predict to win: Jared Leto
How I would have voted: Jared Leto

Supporting Actress
Predict to win: Lupita Nyong'o
But don’t discount: Jennifer Lawrence
How I would have voted: Julia Roberts

Animated Feature
Predict to win: Frozen
How I would have voted: Frozen

Foreign Language Film
Predict to win: The Great Beauty
How I would have voted: Omar

Documentary Feature
Predict to win: 20 Feet From Stardom
But don’t discount The Act of Killing
How I would have voted: The Act of Killing

Cinematography
Predict to win: Gravity
How I would have voted: Inside Llewyn Davis

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
Predict to win: 12 Years a Slave
How I would have voted: Before Midnight

Writing (Original Screenplay)
Predict to win: American Hustle
But don’t discount: her
How I would have voted: American Hustle

Production Design
Predict to win: The Great Gatsby
How I would have voted: The Great Gatsby

Costume Design
Predict to win: The Great Gatsby
But don’t discount: American Hustle
How I would have voted: The Great Gatsby

Hair and Makeup
Predict to win: Dallas Buyers Club
How I would have voted: Dallas Buyers Club

Film Editing
Predict to win: Gravity
But don’t discount: Captain Phillips
How I would have voted: American Hustle

Sound Editing
Predict to win: Gravity
How I would have voted: Gravity

Sound Mixing
Predict to win: Gravity
How I would have voted: Inside Llewyn Davis

Visual Effects
Predict to win: Gravity
How I would have voted: Gravity

Music (Original Score)
Predict to win: Gravity
How I would have voted: Gravity

Music (Original Song)
Predict to win: “Let it Go”
But don't discount: "Happy"
How I would have voted: “Let it Go”

Short Film (Animated)
Predict to win: Get a Horse!
How I would have voted: ?

Short Film (Live Action)
Predict to win: Helium
How I would have voted: ?

Documentary Short
Predict to win: The Lady in Number 6
How I would have voted: ?

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